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Thursday, July 14, 2005

TennCare Traction Hurting Bredesen's Approval? 

In a Survey USA poll released this week, Gov. Bredesen's approval/disapproval numbers take a big dip from an earlier poll:
Tennesee Gov. Phil Bredesen (D)
May 2005: Approve 52% Disapprove 40%
June 2005: Approve 53% Disapprove 40%
July 2005: Approve 48% Disapprove 44%
That represents a loss of five percent on approval and an increase of four percent on disapproval over the last month alone.

To me, the only issue that has had enough real statewide impact on Bredesen is TennCare. The challenge before him is to find a way to get his own message out on why he feels the TennCare cuts are necessary, or asw is also a possibility, sieze the manetle of ethics and drive it forward into 2006.

It's early, of course, but incumbent approvals below 50% are not ideal for reelection.

PS: Check out Mark Warner's numbers in Republican Virginia and tell me he doesn;t have the momentum to run for the Whit e House.

Comments:
Bredesen will bounce back, the drop is due to one part tenn care and one part ethics scandal. After the horrible years of tax and spendquist Tennessee is doing far better now under Bredesen.
 
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